Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Snam S.p.A. (BIT:SRG) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

BIT:SRG
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Snam S.p.A. (BIT:SRG) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. If you purchase the stock on or after the 18th of January, you won't be eligible to receive this dividend, when it is paid on the 20th of January.

Snam's next dividend payment will be €0.10 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of €0.24 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Snam has a trailing yield of 5.2% on the current share price of €4.602. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Snam's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Snam

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Snam is paying out an acceptable 74% of its profit, a common payout level among most companies. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Over the past year it paid out 126% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. It's hard to consistently pay out more cash than you generate without either borrowing or using company cash, so we'd wonder how the company justifies this payout level.

While Snam's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Snam's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
BIT:SRG Historic Dividend January 14th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Snam's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. We'd take that over an earnings decline any day, but in the long run, the best dividend stocks all grow their earnings per share.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Snam has delivered an average of 1.7% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments.

The Bottom Line

Has Snam got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Earnings per share have not grown and Snam's profit payout ratio looks reasonable. However, it paid out a disconcertingly high percentage of its cashflow, which is a worry. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Snam. For example, Snam has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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