Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Ascopiave S.p.A. (BIT:ASC) For Its Upcoming Dividend

BIT:ASC
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Ascopiave S.p.A. (BIT:ASC) is about to go ex-dividend in just 3 days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Thus, you can purchase Ascopiave's shares before the 5th of May in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 7th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.15 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed €0.15 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Ascopiave stock has a trailing yield of around 4.6% on the current share price of €3.295. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Ascopiave's dividend is reliable and sustainable. As a result, readers should always check whether Ascopiave has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Last year, Ascopiave paid out 91% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the past year it paid out 151% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Ascopiave's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

See our latest analysis for Ascopiave

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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BIT:ASC Historic Dividend May 1st 2025
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. That's why it's comforting to see Ascopiave's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 21% per annum for the past five years. Earnings per share have been growing rapidly, but the company is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its earnings as dividends. Generally, when a company is growing this quickly and paying out all of its earnings as dividends, it can suggest either that the company is borrowing heavily to fund its growth, or that earnings growth is likely to slow due to lack of reinvestment.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Ascopiave's dividend payments are broadly unchanged compared to where they were 10 years ago.

To Sum It Up

Should investors buy Ascopiave for the upcoming dividend? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Ascopiave intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Ascopiave don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Ascopiave that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.