Maps S.p.A.'s (BIT:MAPS) Analyst Just Slashed This Year's Estimates

The analyst covering Maps S.p.A. (BIT:MAPS) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analyst factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

Following the latest downgrade, the lone analyst covering Maps provided consensus estimates of €27m revenue in 2023, which would reflect a discernible 5.2% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to crater 34% to €0.08 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of €31m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.22 in 2023. Indeed, we can see that the analyst is a lot more bearish about Maps' prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

See our latest analysis for Maps

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:MAPS Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2023

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analyst has cut their price target 7.4% to €5.00.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 5.2% by the end of 2023. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 14% over the last three years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 11% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Maps is expected to lag the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analyst cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Maps.

So things certainly aren't looking great, and you should also know that we've spotted some potential warning signs with Maps, including concerns around earnings quality. Learn more, and discover the 3 other risks we've identified, for free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour.

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour. cover
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R
Rob_Curious

What I've learnt in the last six months is that fuel supply disruption is a real portfolio risk, and one of the better hedges is a small allocation to shipping. Though it's insane how much these have run up this year.

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frank_ub3n0

Spot on. Shipping and logistics is much larger constraint for gas than oil. Sorry to break it to you. No quick fixes for that.

Mitchell Lawler

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built?

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built? cover
Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to oil and tankers. The trouble is, the antidote to the chokepoints is already being built, and it may not reward the same energy stocks.
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About BIT:MAPS

Maps

A software solution provider, designs and develops technological solutions to support decision-making processes in public and private businesses and organizations.

Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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Trending Discussion

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Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

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