Stock Analysis

Cy4gate S.p.A.'s (BIT:CY4) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 26% Slump

BIT:CY4
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Cy4gate S.p.A. (BIT:CY4) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 44% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Cy4gate's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Italy's Software industry is similar at about 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Cy4gate

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:CY4 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2024

What Does Cy4gate's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Cy4gate has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cy4gate's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cy4gate would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 124% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.0% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 7.8% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it makes sense that Cy4gate's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Cy4gate's P/S

Following Cy4gate's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

A Cy4gate's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Software industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Cy4gate that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Cy4gate's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cy4gate is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.