What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after we looked into RCS MediaGroup (BIT:RCS), the trends above didn't look too great.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for RCS MediaGroup, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = €89m ÷ (€942m - €236m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, RCS MediaGroup has an ROCE of 13%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 12% generated by the Media industry.
See our latest analysis for RCS MediaGroup
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of RCS MediaGroup.
What Can We Tell From RCS MediaGroup's ROCE Trend?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at RCS MediaGroup. To be more specific, the ROCE was 18% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on RCS MediaGroup becoming one if things continue as they have.
What We Can Learn From RCS MediaGroup's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that RCS MediaGroup is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 18% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for RCS MediaGroup you'll probably want to know about.
While RCS MediaGroup isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts
Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.
• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies
Or build your own from over 50 metrics.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:RCS
RCS MediaGroup
Provides multimedia publishing services in Italy and internationally.
Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.