Stock Analysis

What Is Mondo TV S.p.A.'s (BIT:MTV) Share Price Doing?

BIT:MTV
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Mondo TV S.p.A. (BIT:MTV), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BIT over the last few months, increasing to €1.81 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €1.27. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Mondo TV's current trading price of €1.34 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Mondo TV’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Mondo TV

What is Mondo TV worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Mondo TV’s ratio of 10.69x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 13.37x, which means if you buy Mondo TV today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Mondo TV should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Mondo TV’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Mondo TV look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:MTV Earnings and Revenue Growth December 29th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Mondo TV's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in MTV’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at MTV? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MTV, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for MTV, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Mondo TV you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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