Stock Analysis

Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's (BIT:IE) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

BIT:IE
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment S.p.A.'s (BIT:IE) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.

View our latest analysis for Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment

earnings-and-revenue-history
BIT:IE Earnings and Revenue History March 29th 2024

A Closer Look At Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment has an accrual ratio of -0.75 for the year to December 2023. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €105m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €4.75m. Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's profit was reduced by unusual items worth €1.2m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's Profit Performance

Considering both Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. After considering all this, we reckon Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 4 warning signs with Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

After our examination into the nature of Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Iervolino & Lady Bacardi Entertainment is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.