We Like The Quality Of Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti's (BIT:SAC) Earnings
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti S.p.A. (BIT:SAC) despite the healthy numbers. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.
Check out our latest analysis for Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti
A Closer Look At Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to June 2023, Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti recorded an accrual ratio of -0.25. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €4.7m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €1.28m. Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 40% in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti you should be mindful of and 2 of these bad boys can't be ignored.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:SAC
Saccheria F.lli Franceschetti
Produces and sells bags and packaging products in Italy.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.