Does Caltagirone's (BIT:CALT) Statutory Profit Adequately Reflect Its Underlying Profit?

Broadly speaking, profitable businesses are less risky than unprofitable ones. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. This article will consider whether Caltagirone's (BIT:CALT) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Caltagirone made a profit of €32.7m on revenue of €1.41b. While it managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, its profit has moved in the other direction, as you can see in the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Caltagirone

earnings-and-revenue-history
BIT:CALT Earnings and Revenue History February 8th 2021

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. This article will discuss how unusual items have impacted Caltagirone's most recent profit results. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Caltagirone.

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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand Caltagirone's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by €49m due to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Caltagirone doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Caltagirone's Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from Caltagirone's earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Caltagirone's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Caltagirone as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for Caltagirone you should be mindful of and 1 of these doesn't sit too well with us.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Caltagirone's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

When oil spikes, crude gets the attention. I think the boring refiner in the middle is where it gets interesting, and a record shows why.

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marcus_reid
marcus_reid

It's cyclical, but there's a hedging case. Worth being precise about it though. Refiners buy crude and sell products, so a crude spike alone hurts them. In 2008 oil hit 147 and refining margins collapsed. What they hedge is a product supply shock, not an oil one. This is what is happening now.

steve_investor
steve_investor

Goldman says the supply response has already started. Higher utilisation, yields shifted to diesel.

Andrew Legget

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real?

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real? cover
At first glance, this was the strongest earnings season in years. But when you look at where the growth actually came from, the story splits into two very different pictures.
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About BIT:CALT

Caltagirone

Through its subsidiaries, engages in the construction business in Italy, Denmark, Belgium, the United States, Turkey, Egypt, China, Malaysia, Australia, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.

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