Stock Analysis

Is Buzzi Unicem (BIT:BZU) A Risky Investment?

BIT:BZU
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Buzzi Unicem S.p.A. (BIT:BZU) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Buzzi Unicem

What Is Buzzi Unicem's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Buzzi Unicem had debt of €1.18b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from €1.33b over a year. On the flip side, it has €949.7m in cash leading to net debt of about €232.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:BZU Debt to Equity History November 25th 2021

How Strong Is Buzzi Unicem's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Buzzi Unicem had liabilities of €543.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.01b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €949.7m as well as receivables valued at €564.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.04b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Buzzi Unicem is worth €3.77b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Buzzi Unicem's net debt is only 0.30 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 27.0 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Buzzi Unicem grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Buzzi Unicem can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Buzzi Unicem produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Buzzi Unicem's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Buzzi Unicem's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Buzzi Unicem, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Buzzi might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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