Stock Analysis

Is Amplifon (BIT:AMP) A Risky Investment?

BIT:AMP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Amplifon S.p.A. (BIT:AMP) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Amplifon

What Is Amplifon's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Amplifon had debt of €1.15b, up from €1.05b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €557.7m, its net debt is less, at about €590.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:AMP Debt to Equity History May 17th 2021

How Strong Is Amplifon's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Amplifon had liabilities of €750.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.73b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €557.7m in cash and €238.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.68b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Amplifon has a market capitalization of €7.52b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Amplifon's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.1 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.7 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Amplifon grew its EBIT by 5.0% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Amplifon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Amplifon actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Happily, Amplifon's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its interest cover is good too. It's also worth noting that Amplifon is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Amplifon is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Amplifon , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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