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TotalEnergies Valuation

Is TOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOT (€49.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€69.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOT?

Key metric: As TOT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TOT. This is calculated by dividing TOT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TOT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
EarningsUS$17.63b
Market CapUS$129.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TOT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
ENI Eni
17.7x17.3%€43.6b
GAZP Gazprom
2.2xn/a₽4.7t
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.6x9.5%HK$769.4b
28.2x28.5%UK£60.1b
TOT TotalEnergies
7.3x-18.5%€127.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOT 7.3xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (5.6x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TOT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Nov ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Oct ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Sep ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Jul ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Jun ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
May ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Mar ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Feb ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Jan ’25n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Dec ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Nov ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Oct ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Sep ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Aug ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Jul ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Jun ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
May ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Apr ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Mar ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Feb ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Jan ’24n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Dec ’23n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22
Nov ’23n/a
€62.35
0%
10.5%€76.46€51.03n/a22

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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