Stock Analysis
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Tenaris S.A. (BIT:TEN) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Tenaris
What Is Tenaris's Debt?
As you can see below, Tenaris had US$580.9m of debt at June 2024, down from US$693.3m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$3.30b in cash, so it actually has US$2.72b net cash.
How Strong Is Tenaris' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tenaris had liabilities of US$3.16b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.02b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$3.30b in cash and US$2.68b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Tenaris could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Tenaris boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact Tenaris's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 28% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tenaris's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Tenaris may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Tenaris produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Tenaris has net cash of US$2.72b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Tenaris's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Tenaris is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:TEN
Tenaris
Manufactures and distributes steel pipes for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific.