Banca IFIS S.p.A. (BIT:IF) will pay a dividend of €0.90 on the 22nd of May. This takes the dividend yield to 10.0%, which shareholders will be pleased with.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Banca IFIS' stock price has increased by 33% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
See our latest analysis for Banca IFIS
Banca IFIS' Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, Banca IFIS has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 69%, which means that Banca IFIS would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.
Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 6.0%. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 71% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.57 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of €2.10. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 14% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 2.1% per year. Growth of 2.1% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.
Our Thoughts On Banca IFIS' Dividend
In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Banca IFIS that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Banca IFIS not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:IF
Average dividend payer and fair value.