Dollar General Corporation

BIT:1DGX Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.7b

Dollar General Valuation

Is 1DGX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1DGX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€140.34
Fair Value
33.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1DGX (€94.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€140.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1DGX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1DGX?

Key metric: As 1DGX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1DGX. This is calculated by dividing 1DGX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1DGX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.2x
EarningsUS$1.19b
Market CapUS$24.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1DGX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1DGX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.2x
TGT Target
10.9x0.98%US$41.0b
DLTR Dollar Tree
20x6.38%US$22.0b
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
20.8x6.37%US$11.6b
CA Carrefour
29.3x18.89%€9.5b
1DGX Dollar General
20.2x10.39%€24.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1DGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1DGX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1DGX 20.2xIndustry Avg. 18.9xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1DGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (18.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1DGX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1DGX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.2x
Fair PE Ratio30.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1DGX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1DGX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€94.04
€103.04
+9.57%
10.81%€119.82€68.96n/a28
Nov ’26€84.39
€103.04
+22.10%
10.46%€119.25€68.63n/a28
Oct ’26€85.02
€102.78
+20.89%
10.01%€118.46€68.18n/a28
Sep ’26€90.35
€102.49
+13.44%
10.65%€117.98€68.39n/a27
Aug ’26€94.02
€100.35
+6.73%
9.75%€116.86€69.25n/a27
Jul ’26€98.62
€97.88
-0.75%
11.46%€116.22€68.87n/a28
Jun ’26€86.22
€84.28
-2.25%
14.10%€105.70€70.46n/a27
May ’26€82.51
€80.08
-2.95%
13.35%€101.86€66.43n/a28
Apr ’26€81.33
€80.06
-1.56%
12.87%€106.59€63.96n/a28
Mar ’26€70.47
€83.59
+18.62%
12.76%€109.35€62.76n/a28
Feb ’26€69.59
€85.02
+22.17%
12.50%€110.24€63.27n/a28
Jan ’26€72.64
€86.96
+19.71%
12.59%€110.96€63.68n/a28
Dec ’25€73.54
€90.74
+23.38%
14.87%€123.05€69.09€95.3828
Nov ’25€74.57
€92.92
+24.60%
13.55%€120.22€67.51€84.3928
Oct ’25€75.74
€90.24
+19.14%
13.87%€116.43€65.38€85.0228
Sep ’25€78.38
€99.54
+26.99%
18.71%€142.05€81.43€90.3527
Aug ’25€110.30
€137.74
+24.88%
9.12%€157.25€109.15€94.0227
Jul ’25€124.00
€139.23
+12.28%
8.79%€158.32€109.89€98.6227
Jun ’25€124.36
€138.81
+11.62%
8.57%€156.71€108.77€86.2226
May ’25€131.10
€147.81
+12.74%
8.84%€178.51€110.86€82.5128
Apr ’25€144.40
€145.97
+1.09%
8.49%€167.58€109.86€81.3328
Mar ’25€137.40
€129.87
-5.48%
11.13%€156.67€92.16€70.4727
Feb ’25€124.20
€131.78
+6.10%
12.07%€168.44€92.55€69.5928
Jan ’25€122.60
€126.74
+3.38%
13.23%€165.42€90.89€72.6428
Dec ’24€122.20
€121.94
-0.21%
18.06%€192.89€91.85€73.5428
€102.81
Fair Value
8.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/02 05:08
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/02 00:00
Earnings2025/08/01
Annual Earnings2025/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dollar General Corporation is covered by 51 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Meredith AdlerBarclays
Seth SigmanBarclays