TOD'S Valuation

Is TOD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOD (€42.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€36.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TOD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.9x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TOD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TOD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
58.8x23.5%€1.5b
SL Sanlorenzo
15.3x8.2%€1.4b
OVS OVS
12x10.1%€628.2m
TGYM Technogym
23.8x10.7%€1.7b
TOD TOD'S
28.4x16.0%€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TOD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TOD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TOD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.00
€39.65
-7.8%
13.4%€43.00€30.00n/a10
Apr ’25€43.00
€39.65
-7.8%
13.4%€43.00€30.00n/a10
Mar ’25€43.00
€38.11
-11.4%
13.6%€43.00€30.00n/a12
Feb ’25€34.00
€35.11
+3.3%
11.1%€45.00€30.00n/a15
Jan ’25€34.14
€36.81
+7.8%
13.0%€50.00€30.00n/a15
Dec ’24€33.20
€37.01
+11.5%
12.9%€50.00€30.00n/a15
Nov ’24€31.88
€39.83
+24.9%
14.8%€52.70€30.00n/a16
Oct ’24€34.26
€41.40
+20.8%
15.0%€55.00€30.00n/a16
Sep ’24€38.12
€41.61
+9.2%
12.6%€53.50€32.00n/a16
Aug ’24€41.06
€41.48
+1.0%
13.1%€55.00€32.00n/a16
Jul ’24€38.44
€38.94
+1.3%
9.5%€46.00€32.00n/a16
Jun ’24€37.48
€38.94
+3.9%
9.5%€46.00€32.00n/a16
May ’24€38.30
€37.26
-2.7%
7.7%€43.10€32.00n/a16
Apr ’24€38.16
€35.81
-6.2%
7.1%€40.00€31.00€43.0016
Mar ’24€35.90
€35.46
-1.2%
7.4%€40.00€31.00€43.0015
Feb ’24€37.14
€35.19
-5.2%
8.1%€40.00€29.00€34.0015
Jan ’24€30.28
€36.59
+20.8%
12.6%€48.00€29.00€34.1415
Dec ’23€34.12
€37.88
+11.0%
11.2%€48.00€32.20€33.2014
Nov ’23€31.70
€40.17
+26.7%
7.0%€48.00€33.50€31.8815
Oct ’23€41.98
€39.96
-4.8%
7.0%€48.00€33.50€34.2614
Sep ’23€40.24
€39.49
-1.9%
9.4%€48.00€32.30€38.1214
Aug ’23€34.48
€38.32
+11.1%
13.4%€48.00€28.80€41.0617
Jul ’23€29.70
€39.85
+34.2%
12.0%€48.00€28.00€38.4417
Jun ’23€34.66
€40.36
+16.5%
9.5%€48.00€33.00€37.4817
May ’23€38.00
€42.66
+12.3%
10.6%€50.00€33.00€38.3017
Apr ’23€40.46
€43.27
+6.9%
12.5%€53.30€32.50€38.1616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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