TOD'S S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and distributes shoes, leather goods and accessories, and apparel in Italy, Europe, the Americas, Greater China, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
Share Price & News
How has TOD'S's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: TOD has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
7 Day Return
1 Year Return
Return vs Industry: TOD underperformed the Italian Luxury industry which returned -9.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TOD underperformed the Italian Market which returned -4.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is TOD'S's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
10 months ago | Simply Wall StWhat Are Analysts Saying About The Future Of TOD'S S.p.A.'s (BIT:TOD)?
10 months ago | Simply Wall StRead This Before Buying TOD'S S.p.A. (BIT:TOD) For Its Dividend
10 months ago | Simply Wall StIs TOD'S (BIT:TOD) A Risky Investment?
Is TOD'S undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Price to Earnings (PE) ratio
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: TOD (€26.76) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€19.36)
Significantly Below Fair Value: TOD is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: TOD is good value based on its PE Ratio (19.1x) compared to the Luxury industry average (22.1x).
PE vs Market: TOD is poor value based on its PE Ratio (19.1x) compared to the Italian market (16.8x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: TOD's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: TOD is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.8x) compared to the IT Luxury industry average (1.1x).
How is TOD'S forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 15 analysts?
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TOD's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-24.5% per year).
Earnings vs Market: TOD's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-24.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TOD's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TOD's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TOD's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.6% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TOD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (0.7%).
How has TOD'S performed over the past 5 years?
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: TOD has a large one-off gain of €94.3M impacting its December 31 2019 financial results.
Growing Profit Margin: TOD's current net profit margins (5%) are higher than last year (5%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TOD's earnings have declined by -20.4% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TOD's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: TOD had negative earnings growth (-1.8%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Luxury industry average (5.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: TOD's Return on Equity (4.2%) is considered low.
How is TOD'S's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: TOD's short term assets (€747.6M) exceed its short term liabilities (€416.0M).
Long Term Liabilities: TOD's short term assets (€747.6M) exceed its long term liabilities (€509.2M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: TOD's debt to equity ratio (19%) is considered satisfactory.
Reducing Debt: TOD's debt to equity ratio has increased from 6.1% to 19% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: TOD's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (47.9%).
Interest Coverage: TOD's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (0.4x coverage).
What is TOD'S's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: TOD's dividend (2.24%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Italian market (1.93%).
High Dividend: TOD's dividend (2.24%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Italian market (5%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: TOD's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: TOD's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (42.9%), TOD's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of TOD's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the Italian market.
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Umberto di Cellere (55yo)
Umberto Macchi di Cellere has been Director of Tod's SpA since April 2018.
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Umberto's total compensation ($USD1.22M) is about average for companies of similar size in the Italian market ($USD1.22M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Umberto's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
TOD'S S.p.A.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: TOD'S S.p.A.
- Ticker: TOD
- Exchange: BIT
- Industry: Footwear
- Sector: Consumer Durables
- Market Cap: €885.583m
- Shares outstanding: 33.09m
- Website: https://www.todsgroup.com
Number of Employees
- TOD'S S.p.A.
- Via Filippo Della Valle, 1
- Sant'Elpidio a Mare
- Ascoli Piceno
|Ticker||Exchange||Primary Security||Security Type||Country||Currency||Listed on|
|TODG.F||OTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||US||USD||Nov 2000|
|TOB||DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||DE||EUR||Nov 2000|
|TOD||BIT (Borsa Italiana)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||IT||EUR||Nov 2000|
|0NV4||LSE (London Stock Exchange)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||GB||EUR||Nov 2000|
|TODM||BATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')||Yes||Ordinary Shares||GB||EUR||Nov 2000|
|TDPA.Y||OTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)||ADS REP 1/10SH||US||USD||May 2012|
TOD'S S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and distributes shoes, leather goods and accessories, and apparel in Italy, Europe, the Americas, Greater China, and internationally. The company provides shoes and luxury leather goods for men and women under the Tod’s brand; shoe collections under the Hogan brand name; jackets under the FAY brand; and footwear, bags, small leather goods, and jewelry under the Roger Vivier brand names. It distributes its products through directly operated stores (DOS), e-commerce website, franchised retail stores, and independent multi-brand stores. As of December 31, 2019, the company operated a distribution network of 290 DOS and 115 franchised stores. The company is headquartered in Sant'Elpidio a Mare, Italy. TOD'S S.p.A. is a subsidiary of DI.VI. FINANZIARIA DI DIEGO DELLA VALLE & C. S.r.l.
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2020/06/07 00:01|
|End of Day Share Price||2020/06/05 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.