Stock Analysis

Moncler (BIT:MONC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

BIT:MONC
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Moncler S.p.A. (BIT:MONC) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Moncler

What Is Moncler's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Moncler had debt of €73.0m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from €99.5m over a year. But on the other hand it also has €923.5m in cash, leading to a €850.5m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:MONC Debt to Equity History June 18th 2021

How Strong Is Moncler's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Moncler had liabilities of €540.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €589.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €923.5m in cash and €200.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

This state of affairs indicates that Moncler's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the €15.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Moncler boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Moncler's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 25% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Moncler's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Moncler may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Moncler generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Moncler's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €850.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €314m, being 90% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Moncler's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Moncler that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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