Gentili Mosconi Valuation

Is GM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GM (€2.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GM?

Key metric: As GM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GM. This is calculated by dividing GM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
Earnings€3.66m
Market Cap€45.98m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
ZUC Vincenzo Zucchi
8.2xn/a€37.7m
GML G.M. Leather
11.1xn/a€13.8m
CLF Caleffi
6.3xn/a€11.0m
PTR Pattern
3.5x-48.0%€73.5m
GM Gentili Mosconi
12.5x19.1%€46.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GM 12.5xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.42
€3.10
+28.1%
3.2%€3.20€3.00n/a2
Nov ’25€2.47
€3.10
+25.5%
3.2%€3.20€3.00n/a2
Oct ’25€2.40
€3.10
+29.2%
3.2%€3.20€3.00n/a2
Sep ’25€2.65
€3.60
+35.8%
2.8%€3.70€3.50n/a2
Aug ’25€2.56
€3.60
+40.6%
2.8%€3.70€3.50n/a2
Jul ’25€2.82
€3.75
+33.0%
6.7%€4.00€3.50n/a2
Jun ’25€3.06
€4.15
+35.6%
15.7%€4.80€3.50n/a2
May ’25€3.31
€4.50
+36.0%
6.7%€4.80€4.20n/a2
Apr ’25€3.64
€4.50
+23.6%
6.7%€4.80€4.20n/a2
Mar ’25€3.40
€4.60
+35.3%
8.7%€5.00€4.20n/a2
Feb ’25€3.45
€4.70
+36.2%
6.4%€5.00€4.40n/a2
Jan ’25€3.50
€4.85
+38.6%
9.3%€5.30€4.40n/a2
Dec ’24€3.33
€4.85
+45.6%
9.3%€5.30€4.40n/a2
Nov ’24€3.31
€5.00
+51.1%
6.0%€5.30€4.70€2.472
Oct ’24€3.39
€4.85
+43.1%
3.1%€5.00€4.70€2.402
Sep ’24€3.40
€4.90
+44.1%
2.0%€5.00€4.80€2.652
Aug ’24€3.50
€4.90
+40.0%
2.0%€5.00€4.80€2.562
Jul ’24€3.62
€4.90
+35.4%
2.0%€5.00€4.80€2.822
Jun ’24€3.79
€4.90
+29.3%
2.0%€5.00€4.80€3.062
May ’24€3.79
€4.90
+29.3%
2.0%€5.00€4.80€3.312
Apr ’24€3.75
€4.83
+28.7%
0.5%€4.85€4.80€3.642

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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