Pattern Valuation

Is PTR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PTR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PTR (€5.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€4.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PTR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PTR?

Key metric: As PTR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PTR. This is calculated by dividing PTR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PTR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.5x
Earnings€20.89m
Market Cap€73.51m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PTR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PTR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average57.6x
PQ Piquadro
9.2xn/a€98.2m
FPE Fope
20.7x22.7%€125.3m
SFL Safilo Group
187.9x67.5%€368.7m
OVS OVS
12.7x14.1%€707.8m
PTR Pattern
3.5x-48.0%€73.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PTR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.5x) compared to the peer average (57.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PTR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PTR 3.5xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PTR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.5x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PTR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PTR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.5x
Fair PE Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PTR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.10
€7.47
+46.4%
5.1%€8.00€7.20n/a3
Nov ’25€5.86
€7.47
+27.4%
5.1%€8.00€7.20n/a3
Oct ’25€5.86
€7.47
+27.4%
5.1%€8.00€7.20n/a3
Sep ’25€6.04
€7.43
+23.1%
2.3%€7.60€7.20n/a3
Aug ’25€6.00
€7.43
+23.9%
2.3%€7.60€7.20n/a3
Jul ’25€6.10
€7.43
+21.9%
2.3%€7.60€7.20n/a3
Apr ’25€6.35
€8.00
+26.0%
2.5%€8.20€7.80n/a2
Mar ’25€6.30
€8.00
+27.0%
2.5%€8.20€7.80n/a2
Feb ’25€6.25
€8.00
+28.0%
2.5%€8.20€7.80n/a2
Jan ’25€6.50
€8.00
+23.1%
2.5%€8.20€7.80n/a2
Dec ’24€7.20
€8.00
+11.1%
2.5%€8.20€7.80n/a2
Nov ’24€5.90
€8.00
+35.6%
2.5%€8.20€7.80€5.862
Sep ’24€7.45
€7.85
+5.4%
0.6%€7.90€7.80€6.042
Aug ’24€7.70
€7.85
+1.9%
0.6%€7.90€7.80€6.002
Jul ’24€7.20
€7.85
+9.0%
0.6%€7.90€7.80€6.102
Jun ’24€7.00
€7.85
+12.1%
0.6%€7.90€7.80€5.842
May ’24€6.90
€7.85
+13.8%
0.6%€7.90€7.80€6.162
Apr ’24€6.98
€7.75
+11.0%
0.6%€7.80€7.70€6.352
Mar ’24€7.50
€7.75
+3.3%
0.6%€7.80€7.70€6.302
Feb ’24€7.30
€7.75
+6.2%
0.6%€7.80€7.70€6.252
Jan ’24€6.72
€7.75
+15.3%
0.6%€7.80€7.70€6.502
Dec ’23€6.58
€7.75
+17.8%
0.6%€7.80€7.70€7.202
Nov ’23€6.06
€7.75
+27.9%
0.6%€7.80€7.70€5.902

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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