Should You Be Impressed By Brunello Cucinelli's (BIT:BC) Returns on Capital?
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Brunello Cucinelli (BIT:BC), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Brunello Cucinelli, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.027 = €22m ÷ (€1.1b - €301m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, Brunello Cucinelli has an ROCE of 2.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Luxury industry average of 7.4%.
View our latest analysis for Brunello Cucinelli
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Brunello Cucinelli compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Brunello Cucinelli.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Brunello Cucinelli Tell Us?
In terms of Brunello Cucinelli's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 20%, but since then they've fallen to 2.7%. However it looks like Brunello Cucinelli might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, Brunello Cucinelli has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 27% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Key Takeaway
To conclude, we've found that Brunello Cucinelli is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 117% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
If you want to continue researching Brunello Cucinelli, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About BIT:BC
Brunello Cucinelli
Engages in the production and sale of clothing, accessories, and lifestyle products in Italy, Europe, North America, Japan, and China.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.