LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

BIT:1MC Stock Report

Market Cap: €294.8b

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne Valuation

Is 1MC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1MC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1MC (€586.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€568.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1MC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1MC?

Key metric: As 1MC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1MC. This is calculated by dividing 1MC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1MC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21x
Earnings€13.96b
Market Cap€294.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1MC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1MC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.4x
MONC Moncler
19.5x6.9%€12.7b
BC Brunello Cucinelli
56x13.8%€6.4b
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
100.7x36.8%€950.2m
OVS OVS
13.4x14.1%€691.6m
1MC LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne
21x6.7%€293.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1MC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (47.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1MC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1MC 21.0xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1MC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1MC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21x
Fair PE Ratio29.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1MC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1MC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€586.40
€694.84
+18.5%
8.4%€795.00€560.00n/a28
Nov ’25€610.80
€705.36
+15.5%
8.4%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Oct ’25€664.20
€767.77
+15.6%
9.5%€900.00€600.00n/a26
Sep ’25€674.90
€812.92
+20.5%
9.2%€950.00€650.00n/a26
Aug ’25€641.20
€822.88
+28.3%
9.7%€950.00€643.00n/a26
Jul ’25€713.90
€866.15
+21.3%
8.9%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Jun ’25€735.20
€879.50
+19.6%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
May ’25€773.60
€879.23
+13.7%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Apr ’25€836.00
€874.15
+4.6%
8.8%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Mar ’25€847.50
€855.63
+1.0%
9.0%€1,000.00€670.00n/a27
Feb ’25€768.90
€839.50
+9.2%
8.1%€1,000.00€670.00n/a28
Jan ’25€738.00
€840.79
+13.9%
9.1%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Dec ’24€699.00
€843.93
+20.7%
9.0%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Nov ’24€672.80
€857.79
+27.5%
8.9%€1,000.00€640.00€610.8027
Oct ’24€719.10
€902.38
+25.5%
8.7%€1,020.00€640.00€664.2026
Sep ’24€775.10
€943.23
+21.7%
7.9%€1,025.00€640.00€674.9026
Aug ’24€830.00
€948.65
+14.3%
8.2%€1,060.00€640.00€641.2026
Jul ’24€862.90
€944.38
+9.4%
8.6%€1,060.00€640.00€713.9026
Jun ’24€806.50
€943.62
+17.0%
8.4%€1,060.00€640.00€735.2026
May ’24€871.10
€930.23
+6.8%
9.0%€1,030.00€640.00€773.6027
Apr ’24€846.50
€873.15
+3.1%
10.6%€1,000.00€590.00€836.0027
Mar ’24€793.00
€849.34
+7.1%
9.9%€1,000.00€590.00€847.5030
Feb ’24€795.70
€842.07
+5.8%
9.7%€1,000.00€590.00€768.9030
Jan ’24€681.60
€781.16
+14.6%
8.9%€910.00€590.00€738.0031
Dec ’23€719.00
€778.97
+8.3%
8.4%€910.00€590.00€699.0031
Nov ’23€648.00
€775.72
+19.7%
8.6%€910.00€590.00€672.8032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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