Kering Valuation

Is 1KER undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1KER when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1KER (€207) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€292.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1KER is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1KER?

Key metric: As 1KER is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1KER. This is calculated by dividing 1KER's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1KER's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
Earnings€2.08b
Market Cap€25.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1KER's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1KER vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.5x
MONC Moncler
19.5x6.9%€12.6b
BC Brunello Cucinelli
52.6x13.8%€6.0b
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
97.3x36.8%€906.3m
OVS OVS
12.7x14.1%€656.2m
1KER Kering
12.3x7.8%€25.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1KER is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (45.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1KER's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1KER 12.3xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1KER is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1KER's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1KER PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1KER is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1KER forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€207.00
€254.38
+22.9%
20.1%€448.00€180.00n/a26
Nov ’25€229.55
€257.00
+12.0%
20.1%€448.00€180.00n/a26
Oct ’25€248.15
€297.28
+19.8%
27.0%€575.00€208.00n/a25
Sep ’25€259.20
€326.56
+26.0%
21.8%€575.00€260.00n/a25
Aug ’25€281.25
€333.08
+18.4%
21.6%€575.00€260.00n/a25
Jul ’25€327.00
€369.46
+13.0%
17.0%€575.00€300.00n/a24
Jun ’25€317.20
€373.88
+17.9%
17.3%€575.00€300.00n/a24
May ’25€329.10
€377.08
+14.6%
17.2%€575.00€300.00n/a24
Apr ’25€366.00
€435.75
+19.1%
10.9%€575.00€372.00n/a24
Mar ’25€424.05
€452.92
+6.8%
11.8%€600.00€400.00n/a25
Feb ’25€377.65
€464.69
+23.0%
13.6%€610.00€400.00n/a26
Jan ’25€399.20
€475.38
+19.1%
12.7%€610.00€400.00n/a26
Dec ’24€394.65
€494.96
+25.4%
14.0%€650.00€419.00n/a26
Nov ’24€382.70
€501.73
+31.1%
13.0%€650.00€419.00€229.5526
Oct ’24€433.50
€587.31
+35.5%
12.4%€730.00€430.00€248.1526
Sep ’24€488.40
€617.08
+26.3%
9.2%€730.00€511.00€259.2026
Aug ’24€521.90
€622.58
+19.3%
9.2%€730.00€526.00€281.2524
Jul ’24€507.20
€633.75
+25.0%
10.5%€770.00€498.00€327.0026
Jun ’24€497.00
€650.68
+30.9%
9.3%€770.00€550.00€317.2026
May ’24€580.90
€648.22
+11.6%
9.3%€770.00€550.00€329.1026
Apr ’24€602.80
€650.46
+7.9%
9.6%€770.00€550.00€366.0025
Mar ’24€561.90
€640.47
+14.0%
10.3%€770.00€550.00€424.0527
Feb ’24€563.50
€616.69
+9.4%
9.8%€760.00€500.00€377.6527
Jan ’24€477.20
€620.32
+30.0%
10.6%€760.00€500.00€399.2027
Dec ’23€567.10
€635.58
+12.1%
10.6%€780.00€500.00€394.6527
Nov ’23€475.00
€629.10
+32.4%
15.2%€825.00€333.72€382.7027

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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