Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Tesmec S.p.A. (BIT:TES) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Tesmec
How Much Debt Does Tesmec Carry?
As you can see below, Tesmec had €158.0m of debt at March 2022, down from €166.2m a year prior. On the flip side, it has €42.5m in cash leading to net debt of about €115.4m.
A Look At Tesmec's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Tesmec had liabilities of €162.4m due within a year, and liabilities of €124.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €42.5m and €102.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €142.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €81.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Tesmec would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 1.0 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.3 hit our confidence in Tesmec like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The silver lining is that Tesmec grew its EBIT by 622% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tesmec's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tesmec saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Tesmec's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Tesmec has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tesmec is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:TES
Tesmec
Designs, produces, and markets products and solutions for the construction, maintenance, and streamlining of infrastructures relating to the transmission of electrical power, data, and material transport in Italy, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North and Central America, and BRIC and other countries.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.