Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Somec S.p.A. (BIT:SOM) Even Though It's 33% Cheaper

BIT:SOM
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The Somec S.p.A. (BIT:SOM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 33%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Somec's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Building industry in Italy, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Somec

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:SOM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024

How Somec Has Been Performing

Somec certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Somec.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Somec?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Somec's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 32% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 52% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.3% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 4.4% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Somec's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Following Somec's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Looking at Somec's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Somec you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.