Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Salcef Group S.p.A. (BIT:SCF) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Salcef Group
How Much Debt Does Salcef Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Salcef Group had debt of €193.2m, up from €136.5m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €310.0m in cash, so it actually has €116.8m net cash.
How Healthy Is Salcef Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Salcef Group had liabilities of €341.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €145.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €310.0m and €262.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has €85.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Salcef Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Salcef Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the other side of the story is that Salcef Group saw its EBIT decline by 5.4% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Salcef Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Salcef Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Salcef Group recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Salcef Group has €116.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Salcef Group's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Salcef Group you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:SCF
Salcef Group
Designs, constructs, and maintains railway infrastructure and civil works worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.