Stock Analysis

Cembre's (BIT:CMB) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

BIT:CMB
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Cembre S.p.A. (BIT:CMB) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of May to €1.40. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 4.7%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Cembre

Cembre's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Cembre was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 158% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 21.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 68%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
BIT:CMB Historic Dividend March 18th 2023

Cembre Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from €0.16 total annually to €1.40. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 24% over that duration. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.

We Could See Cembre's Dividend Growing

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Cembre has impressed us by growing EPS at 7.0% per year over the past five years. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Cembre will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Cembre that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Cembre not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.