BPER Banca SpA

BIT:BPE Stock Report

Market Cap: €26.3b

BPER Banca Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 5/6

BPER Banca has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 19.9%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 19.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 20.3% per year. BPER Banca's return on equity is 10.9%, and it has net margins of 30.2%.

Key information

19.86%

Earnings growth rate

14.83%

EPS growth rate

Banks Industry Growth21.39%
Revenue growth rate20.35%
Return on equity10.92%
Net Margin30.23%
Next Earnings Update05 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 02

BPE: Excess Capital Distributions Will Support A Constructive Outlook Despite Recent Downgrades

The updated analyst price target for BPER Banca edges up to about €13.96 from about €13.93. Analysts point to slightly higher modeled revenue growth, profit margins and a marginally lower discount rate as key drivers of the change.
Narrative Update May 19

BPE: Excess Capital Distributions Will Support A Constructive Forward Outlook

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for BPER Banca up to about €13.93 from roughly €13.74. This reflects recent price target cuts, multiple downgrades to Hold or Neutral, and the view that the stock already factors in expectations for using excess capital for higher distributions.
Narrative Update May 03

BPE: Merger Vote And Recalibrated Earnings Outlook Are Expected To Unlock Upside

Analysts have trimmed BPER Banca's fair value estimate by €0.10 to €14.50, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after a mix of recent target moves and a fresh neutral initiation on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but generally constructive stance on BPER Banca, with some firms trimming fair value assumptions while others highlight room for upside based on execution and earnings power.
Narrative Update Apr 18

BPE: Mixed Research Views And Merger Plans Will Shape Future Risk Reward

Narrative Update BPER Banca's updated analyst price target moves slightly higher to about €12.51 from roughly €12.08, as analysts factor in revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple following mixed recent research including price target adjustments and a new neutral initiation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BPER Banca presents a mixed picture, with some analysts turning more cautious even as others see room for upside.
Narrative Update Apr 04

BPE: Upcoming Merger And Earnings Milestones Will Support Constructive Outlook

Analysts have raised their average price target on BPER Banca to about €13.74 from roughly €13.09, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following recent research from firms including Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BPER Banca highlights both supportive and cautious views around the bank's valuation, execution and growth profile, reflected in the updated price targets and fresh coverage.
Narrative Update Mar 21

BPE: Rising Confidence In Merger Outlook Is Expected To Unlock Further Upside

Analyst price targets for BPER Banca have increased, with recent research indicating a new level of around €13.40, up from €12.10 previously. This revision is supported by updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E estimates.
Narrative Update Mar 07

BPE: Higher Street Views And Refined Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential

BPER Banca's analyst price target has moved higher, with the fair value estimate shifting from €11.79 to €12.08 as analysts factor in updated Street targets from €12.10 to €13.40 and refreshed assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BPER Banca have centered on revisions to fair value estimates and price targets, reflecting refreshed assumptions on discount rate, revenue, margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Feb 20

BPE: Higher Fair Estimate Will Reflect Rising Confidence In Preferred Bank

Analysts have raised their price targets on BPER Banca, with our fair value estimate moving from €13.52 to €14.60 as they factor in updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a more constructive tone around BPER Banca, with several bullish analysts adjusting their fair value assumptions.
Narrative Update Feb 06

BPE: Market Perform Shift And Revised Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Risk Outlook

Analysts have inched up their fair value estimate for BPER Banca to €11.79 from €11.20, with a slightly higher Street price target of €11.60 helping to frame this recalibration, despite a recent downgrade to Market Perform. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signalling a more cautious stance on BPER Banca, even as fair value estimates and the latest price target sit slightly above current levels.
Narrative Update Jan 23

BPE: Index Shift And Buyback Plans Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have nudged their target for BPER Banca higher, with our fair value estimate moving from €12.00 to about €13.09. This reflects updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions drawn from recent research, including both a higher price target alongside a downgrade to Market Perform, and an upgrade to Buy with a higher target price.
Narrative Update Jan 09

BPE: Higher Fair Estimate Signals Confidence In Preferred Italian Bank

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for BPER Banca from €12.10 to about €13.52. This change reflects a series of recent price target increases and broadly supportive views on the stock among covering firms.
Narrative Update Dec 20

BPE: Higher Fair Value And Index Moves Will Shape Balanced Risk Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BPER Banca has risen from approximately EUR 7.55 to EUR 11.20, as analysts incorporate stronger expectations for revenue growth, slightly higher profitability, and a sector-leading position reflected in a series of recent price target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BPER Banca presents a more nuanced picture, with some Bearish analysts tempering enthusiasm despite the higher consensus fair value.
Narrative Update Dec 06

BPE: Index Inclusion And Buyback Plans Will Drive Future Momentum

Analysts have nudged their price target for BPER Banca slightly higher to EUR 12.00, reflecting improved expectations for revenue growth and margins, while noting the bank's growing status as a preferred Italian name despite some valuation driven rating adjustments. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BPER Banca highlight a mixed but generally constructive stance, with several firms acknowledging the bank as a preferred Italian banking exposure even as some recommendations moderate on valuation grounds.
Narrative Update Nov 22

BPE: Strong Sector Position And Index Inclusion Will Drive Further Momentum

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for BPER Banca from €11.40 to €12.00. This reflects enhanced profit margins and sector-wide upgrades, despite mixed rating changes.
Narrative Update Nov 01

BPE: Share Momentum And Fair Value Will Drive Cautious Optimism Ahead

The analyst price target for BPER Banca has seen a notable shift, as recent updates from analysts reflect increased optimism and revised targets ranging from €10.30 to €12.50. This has been supported by stronger valuations and sustained growth prospects for the bank.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Digital Transformation And ESG Lending Will Shape Future Expansion

Analysts have increased their price target for BPER Banca from €10.73 to €11.40, reflecting optimism about the bank's revenue growth outlook and its preferred status among Italian banks, despite recent valuation concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst actions highlight a nuanced outlook for BPER Banca, with growing optimism around the bank's growth trajectory and value, tempered by some caution over recent share price appreciation.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Digital Transformation And ESG Lending Will Shape Future Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target for BPER Banca from €10.57 to €10.73. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations, which support a more optimistic outlook.
Narrative Update Sep 13

Digital Transformation And ESG Lending Will Shape Future Expansion

The consensus Analyst Price Target for BPER Banca has increased, primarily reflecting a notable decline in its future P/E multiple, which enhances perceived value and supports the revised fair value of €10.57. What's in the News BPER Banca raised its 2025 total revenue guidance from EUR 5.4 billion to EUR 5.5 billion.
Narrative Update Aug 29

Digital Transformation And ESG Lending Will Shape Future Expansion

The upward revision in BPER Banca’s price target reflects a significant decrease in its future P/E ratio alongside a modest improvement in net profit margin, raising fair value from €9.75 to €10.16. What's in the News BPER Banca upgraded its 2025 total revenue guidance from EUR 5.4 billion to EUR 5.5 billion.
Narrative Update Aug 08

Digital Transformation And ESG Lending Will Shape Future Expansion

A strong upward revision in BPER Banca’s revenue growth forecast has outweighed a modest decline in net profit margin, prompting analysts to raise their fair value estimate from €9.06 to €9.60. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for BPER Banca The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from €9.06 to €9.60.
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New Narrative Nov 25

Tactical Initiatives Drive Growth But Analysts Warn Of Profit Margin Squeeze And Higher Costs

BPER Banca's strategic initiatives focus on enhancing efficiency, modernizing operations, and leveraging economies of scale to boost revenue and improve margins.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How BPER Banca makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

BIT:BPE Revenue, expenses and earnings (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 266,2661,8942,8260
31 Dec 255,9381,8182,6940
30 Sep 255,7111,7442,7140
30 Jun 255,2731,5822,5590
31 Mar 255,2511,3882,7770
31 Dec 245,1571,4032,8610
30 Sep 245,1381,5692,8350
30 Jun 245,1551,5392,9540
31 Mar 245,0421,6862,7340
31 Dec 234,9201,5192,6800
30 Sep 234,7601,0702,8970
30 Jun 234,3807693,0240
31 Mar 234,0001,6272,9750
31 Dec 223,6281,4492,8450
30 Sep 223,2271,4052,7280
30 Jun 223,0881,4082,4460
31 Mar 222,9702382,4230
31 Dec 212,5265252,3740
30 Sep 212,2686242,0040
30 Jun 212,0476361,8250
31 Mar 211,8116311,6720
31 Dec 201,9232371,5660
30 Sep 201,898561,7100
30 Jun 201,8483821,7320
31 Mar 201,8013381,6810
31 Dec 191,7743801,6060
30 Sep 191,6315671,3920
30 Jun 191,5711951,3170
31 Mar 191,6041991,3330
31 Dec 181,8104021,3250
30 Sep 181,8523861,3070
30 Jun 181,8053651,3030
31 Mar 181,6214131,2160
31 Dec 171,3401761,2340
30 Sep 171,209621,2170
30 Jun 171,199691,1960
31 Mar 171,309-21,2580
31 Dec 161,342141,2230
30 Sep 161,5662391,1160
30 Jun 161,5752121,0940
31 Mar 161,5742061,1220
31 Dec 151,5872211,0560
30 Sep 151,377371,1650
30 Jun 151,356521,1680

Quality Earnings: BPE has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: BPE's current net profit margins (30.2%) are higher than last year (26.4%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: BPE's earnings have grown by 19.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: BPE's earnings growth over the past year (36.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (19.9% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: BPE earnings growth over the past year (36.4%) exceeded the Banks industry 5.4%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: BPE's Return on Equity (10.9%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/09 09:44
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BPER Banca SpA is covered by 22 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Irene RossettoBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Juan Lopez CoboBanco Santander
Paola SabbioneBarclays