Stock Analysis

One Landi Renzo S.p.A. (BIT:LNDR) Analyst Just Slashed Their Estimates By A Material 10%

BIT:LNDR
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Market forces rained on the parade of Landi Renzo S.p.A. (BIT:LNDR) shareholders today, when the covering analyst downgraded their forecasts for this year. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

After the downgrade, the consensus from Landi Renzo's sole analyst is for revenues of €278m in 2024, which would reflect a small 4.3% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 57% to €0.059 per share. Yet prior to the latest estimates, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of €310m and losses of €0.043 per share in 2024. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analyst making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.

Check out our latest analysis for Landi Renzo

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:LNDR Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024

The consensus price target fell 29% to €0.28, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Landi Renzo's valuation.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 8.5% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 15% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 2.8% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Landi Renzo is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analyst increased their loss per share estimates for this year. Unfortunately the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Landi Renzo's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Furthermore, there was a cut to the price target, suggesting that the latest news has led to more pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Landi Renzo after today.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.