Stock Analysis

    Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. (BIT:FCA) Has Got What It Takes To Be An Attractive Dividend Stock

    Source: Shutterstock

    Today we'll take a closer look at Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. (BIT:FCA) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

    With Fiat Chrysler Automobiles yielding 5.6% and having paid a dividend for over 10 years, many investors likely find the company quite interesting. We'd guess that plenty of investors have purchased it for the income. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Fiat Chrysler Automobiles for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

    Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

    BIT:FCA Historical Dividend Yield, August 12th 2019
    BIT:FCA Historical Dividend Yield, August 12th 2019
    Advertisement

    Payout ratios

    Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 34% of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. This is a medium payout level that leaves enough capital in the business to fund opportunities that might arise, while also rewarding shareholders. Plus, there is room to increase the payout ratio over time.

    We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. Fiat Chrysler Automobiles paid out a conservative 46% of its free cash flow as dividends last year. It's positive to see that Fiat Chrysler Automobiles's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

    Dividend Volatility

    Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Fiat Chrysler Automobiles has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. The dividend has been cut by more than 20% on at least one occasion historically. During the past ten-year period, the first annual payment was €0.17 in 2009, compared to €0.65 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. The growth in dividends has not been linear, but the CAGR is a decent approximation of the rate of change over this time frame.

    It's not great to see that the payment has been cut in the past. We're generally more wary of companies that have cut their dividend before, as they tend to perform worse in an economic downturn.

    Dividend Growth Potential

    Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's good to see Fiat Chrysler Automobiles has been growing its earnings per share at 29% a year over the past 5 years. With high earnings per share growth in recent times and a modest payout ratio, we think this is an attractive combination if earnings can be reinvested to generate further growth.

    Conclusion

    When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. It's great to see that Fiat Chrysler Automobiles is paying out a low percentage of its earnings and cash flow. Second, earnings per share have been essentially flat, and its history of dividend payments is chequered - having cut its dividend at least once in the past. Fiat Chrysler Automobiles performs highly under this analysis, although it falls slightly short of our exacting standards. At the right valuation, it could be a solid dividend prospect.

    Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 22 analysts we track are forecasting for Fiat Chrysler Automobiles for free with public analyst estimates for the company.

    We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.