Tesla, Inc.

BIT:1TSLA Stock Report

Market Cap: €738.9b

Tesla Valuation

Is 1TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€231.82
Fair Value
2.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
42
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1TSLA (€227) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€231.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1TSLA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1TSLA?

Key metric: As 1TSLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1TSLA. This is calculated by dividing 1TSLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1TSLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio112.8x
EarningsUS$7.13b
Market CapUS$804.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1TSLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
RACE Ferrari
48.3x9.1%€73.5b
STLAM Stellantis
5.9x16.9%€32.5b
7203 Toyota Motor
7x-4.9%JP¥35.9t
1211 BYD
32.2x17.8%HK$1.2t
1TSLA Tesla
112.8x22.8%€804.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (112.8x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1TSLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1TSLA 112.8xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (112.8x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1TSLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1TSLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio112.8x
Fair PE Ratio35.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (112.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€227.00
€315.28
+38.9%
34.5%€505.40€110.27n/a42
Mar ’26€278.15
€330.32
+18.8%
35.0%€525.75€129.05n/a42
Feb ’26€400.15
€313.52
-21.7%
38.6%€530.59€130.23n/a41
Jan ’26€406.35
€272.07
-33.0%
38.8%€506.04€115.01n/a42
Dec ’25€321.55
€222.16
-30.9%
29.8%€381.12€80.99n/a42
Nov ’25€229.25
€204.99
-10.6%
26.9%€289.61€78.15n/a43
Oct ’25€228.05
€186.36
-18.3%
29.5%€277.39€76.06n/a42
Sep ’25€189.62
€184.08
-2.9%
29.9%€278.63€76.40n/a43
Aug ’25€208.45
€189.06
-9.3%
30.0%€286.75€78.63n/a43
Jul ’25€196.40
€170.78
-13.0%
27.7%€289.26€79.31n/a42
Jun ’25€161.60
€166.59
+3.1%
28.5%€284.89€78.12n/a41
May ’25€172.32
€170.21
-1.2%
28.3%€290.41€79.63n/a42
Apr ’25€164.18
€184.74
+12.5%
29.0%€296.54€78.77n/a40
Mar ’25€185.32
€195.79
+5.6%
26.5%€318.37€78.44€278.1539
Feb ’25€171.16
€199.88
+16.8%
26.9%€317.40€78.20€400.1538
Jan ’25€224.60
€215.50
-4.1%
28.5%€345.38€77.26€406.3536
Dec ’24€217.95
€216.00
-0.9%
28.2%€347.24€77.67€321.5536
Nov ’24€191.16
€225.90
+18.2%
27.9%€359.94€80.51€229.2536
Oct ’24€237.55
€239.67
+0.9%
30.2%€378.48€80.43€228.0536
Sep ’24€229.90
€226.26
-1.6%
29.1%€318.05€77.24€189.6236
Aug ’24€240.50
€222.34
-7.6%
29.8%€317.49€77.10€208.4535
Jul ’24€241.40
€190.78
-21.0%
30.3%€307.20€77.95€196.4035
Jun ’24€190.08
€174.00
-8.5%
25.8%€277.68€78.68€161.6035
May ’24€147.20
€170.73
+16.0%
26.1%€273.45€77.48€172.3234
Apr ’24€186.12
€189.24
+1.7%
27.0%€295.01€78.36€164.1833
Mar ’24€187.08
€189.69
+1.4%
27.9%€303.33€80.57€185.3234
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 42 Analysts
€311.57
Fair Value
27.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
42
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/16 02:03
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/14 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 94 analysts. 49 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird