Íslandsbanki hf Valuation

Is ISB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ISB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ISB (ISK126) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ISK122.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ISB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ISB?

Key metric: As ISB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ISB. This is calculated by dividing ISB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ISB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsISK 24.09b
Market CapISK 239.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ISB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ISB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
ARION Arion banki hf
9.2xn/aISK 219.0b
ABMB Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad
10.7x6.2%RM 7.7b
NTB Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son
7.9x-7.1%US$1.7b
BPAN4 Banco Pan
14.7x39.5%R$9.6b
ISB Íslandsbanki hf
10x-5.9%ISK 239.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ISB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (10.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ISB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ISB 10.0xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ISB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ISB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ISB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ISB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ISB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentISK 126.00
ISK 120.00
-4.8%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Nov ’25ISK 129.00
ISK 120.00
-7.0%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Oct ’25ISK 112.00
ISK 120.00
+7.1%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Sep ’25ISK 102.00
ISK 120.00
+17.6%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Aug ’25ISK 102.50
ISK 120.00
+17.1%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Jul ’25ISK 95.00
ISK 117.67
+23.9%
4.7%ISK 123.00ISK 110.00n/a3
Jun ’25ISK 97.00
ISK 117.67
+21.3%
4.7%ISK 123.00ISK 110.00n/a3
May ’25ISK 103.50
ISK 117.67
+13.7%
7.6%ISK 125.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Apr ’25ISK 102.00
ISK 117.67
+15.4%
7.6%ISK 125.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Mar ’25ISK 109.00
ISK 117.67
+8.0%
7.6%ISK 125.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Feb ’25ISK 118.00
ISK 112.67
-4.5%
6.7%ISK 123.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Jan ’25ISK 111.00
ISK 115.33
+3.9%
9.8%ISK 131.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Dec ’24ISK 107.00
ISK 119.40
+11.6%
7.0%ISK 131.00ISK 105.00n/a5
Nov ’24ISK 102.50
ISK 125.40
+22.3%
5.1%ISK 135.00ISK 120.00ISK 129.005
Oct ’24ISK 111.50
ISK 125.40
+12.5%
5.1%ISK 135.00ISK 120.00ISK 112.005
Sep ’24ISK 115.50
ISK 125.40
+8.6%
5.1%ISK 135.00ISK 120.00ISK 102.005
Aug ’24ISK 118.50
ISK 126.40
+6.7%
6.3%ISK 140.00ISK 120.00ISK 102.505
Jul ’24ISK 114.00
ISK 127.20
+11.6%
6.0%ISK 140.00ISK 120.00ISK 95.005
Jun ’24ISK 118.00
ISK 128.60
+9.0%
6.8%ISK 140.00ISK 120.00ISK 97.005
May ’24ISK 124.00
ISK 133.60
+7.7%
10.8%ISK 160.00ISK 120.00ISK 103.505
Apr ’24ISK 119.40
ISK 133.60
+11.9%
10.8%ISK 160.00ISK 120.00ISK 102.005
Mar ’24ISK 123.80
ISK 133.60
+7.9%
10.8%ISK 160.00ISK 120.00ISK 109.005
Feb ’24ISK 116.60
ISK 131.60
+12.9%
8.3%ISK 150.00ISK 120.00ISK 118.005
Jan ’24ISK 119.80
ISK 131.60
+9.8%
8.3%ISK 150.00ISK 120.00ISK 111.005
Dec ’23ISK 123.40
ISK 134.50
+9.0%
7.7%ISK 150.00ISK 125.00ISK 107.004
Nov ’23ISK 130.60
ISK 134.50
+3.0%
7.7%ISK 150.00ISK 125.00ISK 102.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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