Íslandsbanki hf Valuation

Is ISB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ISB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ISK 121.08
Fair Value
6.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ISB (ISK128.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ISK121.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ISB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ISB?

Key metric: As ISB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ISB. This is calculated by dividing ISB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ISB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsISK 24.16b
Market CapISK 241.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ISB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ISB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
ARION Arion banki hf
9.2xn/aISK 241.3b
DHBK Doha Bank Q.P.S.C
7.5x8.5%ر.ق6.4b
TPB Tien Phong Commercial Bank
9.2xn/a₫44.9t
WARBABANK Warba Bank K.S.C.P
27.3x-7.2%د.ك528.3m
ISB Íslandsbanki hf
10x-6.2%ISK 242.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ISB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ISB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ISB 10.0xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies42PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ISB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Banks industry average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ISB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ISB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ISB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ISB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentISK 128.50
ISK 126.33
-1.7%
2.1%ISK 130.00ISK 124.00n/a3
Feb ’26ISK 123.00
ISK 123.00
0%
5.0%ISK 130.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Jan ’26ISK 124.00
ISK 119.67
-3.5%
3.1%ISK 124.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Dec ’25ISK 124.50
ISK 120.00
-3.6%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Nov ’25ISK 129.00
ISK 120.00
-7.0%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Oct ’25ISK 112.00
ISK 120.00
+7.1%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Sep ’25ISK 102.00
ISK 120.00
+17.6%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Aug ’25ISK 102.50
ISK 120.00
+17.1%
3.4%ISK 125.00ISK 115.00n/a3
Jul ’25ISK 95.00
ISK 117.67
+23.9%
4.7%ISK 123.00ISK 110.00n/a3
Jun ’25ISK 97.00
ISK 117.67
+21.3%
4.7%ISK 123.00ISK 110.00n/a3
May ’25ISK 103.50
ISK 117.67
+13.7%
7.6%ISK 125.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Apr ’25ISK 102.00
ISK 117.67
+15.4%
7.6%ISK 125.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Mar ’25ISK 109.00
ISK 117.67
+8.0%
7.6%ISK 125.00ISK 105.00n/a3
Feb ’25ISK 118.00
ISK 112.67
-4.5%
6.7%ISK 123.00ISK 105.00ISK 123.003
Jan ’25ISK 111.00
ISK 115.33
+3.9%
9.8%ISK 131.00ISK 105.00ISK 124.003
Dec ’24ISK 107.00
ISK 119.40
+11.6%
7.0%ISK 131.00ISK 105.00ISK 124.505
Nov ’24ISK 102.50
ISK 125.40
+22.3%
5.1%ISK 135.00ISK 120.00ISK 129.005
Oct ’24ISK 111.50
ISK 125.40
+12.5%
5.1%ISK 135.00ISK 120.00ISK 112.005
Sep ’24ISK 115.50
ISK 125.40
+8.6%
5.1%ISK 135.00ISK 120.00ISK 102.005
Aug ’24ISK 118.50
ISK 126.40
+6.7%
6.3%ISK 140.00ISK 120.00ISK 102.505
Jul ’24ISK 114.00
ISK 127.20
+11.6%
6.0%ISK 140.00ISK 120.00ISK 95.005
Jun ’24ISK 118.00
ISK 128.60
+9.0%
6.8%ISK 140.00ISK 120.00ISK 97.005
May ’24ISK 124.00
ISK 133.60
+7.7%
10.8%ISK 160.00ISK 120.00ISK 103.505
Apr ’24ISK 119.40
ISK 133.60
+11.9%
10.8%ISK 160.00ISK 120.00ISK 102.005
Mar ’24ISK 123.80
ISK 133.60
+7.9%
10.8%ISK 160.00ISK 120.00ISK 109.005
Feb ’24ISK 116.60
ISK 131.60
+12.9%
8.3%ISK 150.00ISK 120.00ISK 118.005
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
ISK 126.33
Fair Value
1.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/21 16:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Íslandsbanki hf. is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Namita SamtaniBarclays
Namita SamtaniBarclays
Andrew CoombsCitigroup Inc