Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise SJVN Limited's (NSE:SJVN) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher

NSEI:SJVN
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SJVN Limited (NSE:SJVN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 294% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, SJVN's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

SJVN hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for SJVN

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SJVN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 13th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think SJVN's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, SJVN would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 39% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 48% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why SJVN is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On SJVN's P/E

Shares in SJVN have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of SJVN's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with SJVN (at least 2 which are potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than SJVN. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SJVN is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.