Stock Analysis

Power Grid Corporation of India (NSE:POWERGRID) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:POWERGRID
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (NSE:POWERGRID) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Power Grid Corporation of India

What Is Power Grid Corporation of India's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Power Grid Corporation of India had ₹1.34t in debt in September 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have ₹46.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.29t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:POWERGRID Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2023

How Strong Is Power Grid Corporation of India's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Power Grid Corporation of India had liabilities of ₹336.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.37t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹46.8b and ₹141.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.52t.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of ₹1.56t. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Power Grid Corporation of India has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.0 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Power Grid Corporation of India's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Power Grid Corporation of India can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Power Grid Corporation of India recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 83% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Power Grid Corporation of India's interest cover and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Power Grid Corporation of India commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Power Grid Corporation of India is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Power Grid Corporation of India you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.