Stock Analysis

Power Grid Corporation of India (NSE:POWERGRID) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NSEI:POWERGRID
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (NSE:POWERGRID) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Power Grid Corporation of India

What Is Power Grid Corporation of India's Debt?

As you can see below, Power Grid Corporation of India had ₹1.26t of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have ₹89.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.17t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:POWERGRID Debt to Equity History November 30th 2024

How Healthy Is Power Grid Corporation of India's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Power Grid Corporation of India had liabilities of ₹348.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.28t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹89.6b and ₹109.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹1.43t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Power Grid Corporation of India has a huge market capitalization of ₹3.06t, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Power Grid Corporation of India has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. More concerning, Power Grid Corporation of India saw its EBIT drop by 3.3% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Power Grid Corporation of India's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Power Grid Corporation of India generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 95% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

On our analysis Power Grid Corporation of India's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. It's also worth noting that Power Grid Corporation of India is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Power Grid Corporation of India is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Power Grid Corporation of India you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.