If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at NHPC (NSE:NHPC) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for NHPC, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.062 = ₹44b ÷ (₹799b - ₹89b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
So, NHPC has an ROCE of 6.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Renewable Energy industry average of 8.3%.
View our latest analysis for NHPC
Above you can see how the current ROCE for NHPC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From NHPC's ROCE Trend?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for NHPC in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 6.2% and the business has deployed 27% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
What We Can Learn From NHPC's ROCE
In conclusion, NHPC has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 76% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for NHPC that we think you should be aware of.
While NHPC may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NHPC
NHPC
Engages in the generation, sale, and trading of electricity through hydro, wind, and solar power stations in India.
Undervalued with high growth potential and pays a dividend.