If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So when we looked at Mahanagar Gas (NSE:MGL), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Mahanagar Gas:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.21 = ₹9.5b ÷ (₹60b - ₹16b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Mahanagar Gas has an ROCE of 21%. While that is an outstanding return, the rest of the Gas Utilities industry generates similar returns, on average.
Check out our latest analysis for Mahanagar Gas
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Mahanagar Gas compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Mahanagar Gas
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Currently debt free.
- Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
- Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Indian market.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Mahanagar Gas doesn't inspire confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 29%, but they have dropped over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Mahanagar Gas is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 48% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
Mahanagar Gas does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MGL
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.
