Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Indowind Energy Limited (NSE:INDOWIND) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Indowind Energy
What Is Indowind Energy's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Indowind Energy had debt of ₹595.2m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₹908.3m over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹42.7m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹552.6m.
How Healthy Is Indowind Energy's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Indowind Energy had liabilities of ₹46.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹563.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹42.7m and ₹83.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹484.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Indowind Energy has a market capitalization of ₹2.36b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Indowind Energy has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 6.1 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Notably, Indowind Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of ₹12m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Indowind Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Indowind Energy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
On our analysis Indowind Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, net debt to EBITDA gives us cold feet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Indowind Energy is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Indowind Energy , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:INDOWIND
Indowind Energy
Generates and distributes power through windmills in India.
Flawless balance sheet slight.