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Adani Total Gas Limited's (NSE:ATGL) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
When close to half the companies in the Gas Utilities industry in India have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Adani Total Gas Limited (NSE:ATGL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 14.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Adani Total Gas
How Has Adani Total Gas Performed Recently?
The revenue growth achieved at Adani Total Gas over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Adani Total Gas, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Adani Total Gas would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 65% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 4.6% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.
With this information, we can see why Adani Total Gas is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the industry. However, its current revenue trajectory will be very difficult to maintain against the headwinds other companies are facing at the moment.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We see that Adani Total Gas justifiably maintains its high P/S on the merits of its recentthree-year revenue growth beating forecasts amidst struggling industry. It could be said that investors feel this revenue growth will continue into the future, justifying a higher P/S ratio. Our only concern is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. Although, if the company's relative performance doesn't change it will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Adani Total Gas with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ATGL
Adani Total Gas
Engages in the city gas distribution (CGD) business in India.
Mediocre balance sheet with questionable track record.
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