Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That TVS Supply Chain Solutions (NSE:TVSSCS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:TVSSCS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited (NSE:TVSSCS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for TVS Supply Chain Solutions

How Much Debt Does TVS Supply Chain Solutions Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that TVS Supply Chain Solutions had ₹22.0b of debt in March 2024, down from ₹33.2b, one year before. However, it also had ₹5.97b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹16.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TVSSCS Debt to Equity History September 18th 2024

How Strong Is TVS Supply Chain Solutions' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TVS Supply Chain Solutions had liabilities of ₹28.7b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹11.1b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹5.97b and ₹19.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹14.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded TVS Supply Chain Solutions shares are worth a total of ₹90.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

TVS Supply Chain Solutions shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The good news is that TVS Supply Chain Solutions improved its EBIT by 8.7% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if TVS Supply Chain Solutions can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, TVS Supply Chain Solutions actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

TVS Supply Chain Solutions's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was significantly redeeming. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that TVS Supply Chain Solutions is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Even though TVS Supply Chain Solutions lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TVS Supply Chain Solutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.