Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Timescan Logistics (India) Limited's (NSE:TIMESCAN) 25% Share Price Climb

NSEI:TIMESCAN
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Despite an already strong run, Timescan Logistics (India) Limited (NSE:TIMESCAN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, Timescan Logistics (India)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For example, consider that Timescan Logistics (India)'s financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Timescan Logistics (India)

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:TIMESCAN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Timescan Logistics (India), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Timescan Logistics (India)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 105% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Timescan Logistics (India)'s P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Timescan Logistics (India)'s P/E

Even after such a strong price move, Timescan Logistics (India)'s P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Timescan Logistics (India) revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the company's performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Timescan Logistics (India) (at least 2 which are significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Timescan Logistics (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.