Stock Analysis

We Think Shipping Corporation of India (NSE:SCI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:SCI
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies The Shipping Corporation of India Limited (NSE:SCI) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Shipping Corporation of India

What Is Shipping Corporation of India's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shipping Corporation of India had ₹29.1b of debt in September 2022, down from ₹34.2b, one year before. However, it does have ₹6.13b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹23.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SCI Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2023

How Strong Is Shipping Corporation of India's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shipping Corporation of India had liabilities of ₹29.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹20.6b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹6.13b in cash and ₹10.6b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹33.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Shipping Corporation of India has a market capitalization of ₹63.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Shipping Corporation of India has net debt of just 1.5 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.8 times, which is more than adequate. And we also note warmly that Shipping Corporation of India grew its EBIT by 13% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shipping Corporation of India's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Shipping Corporation of India generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 93% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, Shipping Corporation of India's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. All these things considered, it appears that Shipping Corporation of India can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shipping Corporation of India you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.