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Premier Roadlines' (NSE:PRLIND) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Despite announcing strong earnings, Premier Roadlines Limited's (NSE:PRLIND) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
Check out our latest analysis for Premier Roadlines
A Closer Look At Premier Roadlines' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Premier Roadlines has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to September 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of ₹135.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₹42m in the last year. We also note that Premier Roadlines' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹42m.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Premier Roadlines.
Our Take On Premier Roadlines' Profit Performance
Premier Roadlines didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Premier Roadlines' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Premier Roadlines (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be familiar with.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Premier Roadlines' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:PRLIND
Premier Roadlines
Provides logistics solutions to businesses primarily in India.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.