Stock Analysis

Is Oricon Enterprises (NSE:ORICONENT) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:ORICONENT
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Oricon Enterprises Limited (NSE:ORICONENT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Oricon Enterprises

How Much Debt Does Oricon Enterprises Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Oricon Enterprises had debt of ₹1.07b, up from ₹723.7m in one year. However, it does have ₹1.04b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹25.7m.

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NSEI:ORICONENT Debt to Equity History March 14th 2024

A Look At Oricon Enterprises' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Oricon Enterprises had liabilities of ₹1.35b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹859.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.04b as well as receivables valued at ₹1.25b due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹87.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Oricon Enterprises' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹4.87b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Oricon Enterprises has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Oricon Enterprises has barely any net debt, as demonstrated by its net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.067. Humorously, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt as easily as enthusiastic spray-tanners take on an orange hue. It is just as well that Oricon Enterprises's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 47% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Oricon Enterprises will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, Oricon Enterprises saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Oricon Enterprises's difficulty EBIT growth rate, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Oricon Enterprises is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Oricon Enterprises is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.