Stock Analysis

Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding North Eastern Carrying Corporation Limited's (NSE:NECCLTD) Performance Completely

NSEI:NECCLTD
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North Eastern Carrying Corporation Limited (NSE:NECCLTD) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 51%.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think North Eastern Carrying's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 34x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that North Eastern Carrying's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for North Eastern Carrying

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:NECCLTD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for North Eastern Carrying, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, North Eastern Carrying would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 27%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 181% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that North Eastern Carrying is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From North Eastern Carrying's P/E?

North Eastern Carrying's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that North Eastern Carrying currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for North Eastern Carrying (3 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than North Eastern Carrying. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if North Eastern Carrying might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.