Stock Analysis

Jet Freight Logistics (NSE:JETFREIGHT) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:JETFREIGHT
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Jet Freight Logistics Limited (NSE:JETFREIGHT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jet Freight Logistics

How Much Debt Does Jet Freight Logistics Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Jet Freight Logistics had ₹492.4m of debt, an increase on ₹310.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹26.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹466.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JETFREIGHT Debt to Equity History September 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Jet Freight Logistics' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jet Freight Logistics had liabilities of ₹727.9m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹142.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹26.1m and ₹452.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹391.6m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹468.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Jet Freight Logistics' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While we wouldn't worry about Jet Freight Logistics's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.3, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.0 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even more troubling is the fact that Jet Freight Logistics actually let its EBIT decrease by 2.4% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jet Freight Logistics will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Jet Freight Logistics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Jet Freight Logistics's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Jet Freight Logistics's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 6 warning signs with Jet Freight Logistics (at least 3 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.