Investors Don't See Light At End Of InterGlobe Aviation Limited's (NSE:INDIGO) Tunnel
InterGlobe Aviation Limited's (NSE:INDIGO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
InterGlobe Aviation could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as InterGlobe Aviation's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 13% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why InterGlobe Aviation is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that InterGlobe Aviation maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for InterGlobe Aviation with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of InterGlobe Aviation's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:INDIGO
InterGlobe Aviation
Engages in the operation of IndiGo airline in India and internationally.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.