Earnings Miss: Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited Missed EPS By 7.0% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

It's been a sad week for Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (NSE:GPPL), who've watched their investment drop 11% to ₹132 in the week since the company reported its quarterly result. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of ₹2.6b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 7.0% to hit ₹2.06 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Gujarat Pipavav Port

After the latest results, the six analysts covering Gujarat Pipavav Port are now predicting revenues of ₹11.5b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a decent 16% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 40% to ₹10.13. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹11.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹10.25 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The consensus price target fell 5.1% to ₹169, suggesting that the analysts might have been a bit enthusiastic in their previous valuation - or they were expecting the company to provide stronger guidance in the quarterly results. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Gujarat Pipavav Port at ₹252 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹114. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Gujarat Pipavav Port's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Gujarat Pipavav Port's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 13% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.6% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.4% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Gujarat Pipavav Port is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Gujarat Pipavav Port analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Gujarat Pipavav Port that we have uncovered.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.