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GMR Infrastructure (NSE:GMRINFRA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that GMR Infrastructure Limited (NSE:GMRINFRA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for GMR Infrastructure
What Is GMR Infrastructure's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that GMR Infrastructure had ₹265.2b of debt in March 2022, down from ₹367.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹48.0b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹217.1b.
A Look At GMR Infrastructure's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, GMR Infrastructure had liabilities of ₹64.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹287.6b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹48.0b and ₹6.28b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹297.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹210.7b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 0.60 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.9 hit our confidence in GMR Infrastructure like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that GMR Infrastructure actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 127%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GMR Infrastructure's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, GMR Infrastructure saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, GMR Infrastructure's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like GMR Infrastructure commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that GMR Infrastructure's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with GMR Infrastructure .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GMRINFRA
High growth potential very low.