Stock Analysis

Does Blue Dart Express (NSE:BLUEDART) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:BLUEDART
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Blue Dart Express Limited (NSE:BLUEDART) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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What Is Blue Dart Express's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Blue Dart Express had debt of ₹5.96b, up from ₹5.31b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹4.91b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.06b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BLUEDART Debt to Equity History July 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Blue Dart Express' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Blue Dart Express had liabilities of ₹12.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹10.1b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹4.91b as well as receivables valued at ₹5.19b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹13.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Blue Dart Express has a market capitalization of ₹133.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Blue Dart Express has a very light debt load indeed.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.23 and interest cover of 2.6 times, it seems to us that Blue Dart Express is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. It is well worth noting that Blue Dart Express's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 77% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Blue Dart Express's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Blue Dart Express actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Blue Dart Express's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Blue Dart Express's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Blue Dart Express you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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